That’s probably due to the fact that the passing game, which has dropped from third in DVOA to 10th year-over-year, hasn’t been as efficient. Yet this team doesn’t feel nearly as intimidating as it did at this time last year. The Bills are good in ways they weren’t a season ago: The defense has been in a class of its own, and the run game has been more efficient than it was in 2020. And that balance has helped Buffalo compile the best point differential in the league, even as it sleepwalked through the first half of a 26-11 win over the Dolphins on Sunday. They’re the only one in the conference that ranks in the top half of the league in pass and rush DVOA on both sides of the ball. The Bills are certainly the AFC’s most balanced team. That tells us the same thing that the advanced metrics and the eye test do: that Buffalo is the best team in the conference. Buffalo Bills (5-2)Īccording to Pro Football Focus’s betting model, the Bills would currently be the betting favorites against any AFC team on a neutral field. So let’s take a look at the three teams that truly belong in that first group before exploring why the others fall just below the cut. But that doesn’t mean there isn’t a clear divide between the teams that have a shot at making Super Bowl LVI and those that will have to settle for a bit part in the postseason chase. With only two games separating first place (currently held by Tennessee) and 10th (Denver), the AFC is wide open. 500 record or better-and that doesn’t include the defending conference champion Chiefs, who will attempt to join that group on Monday night against the Giants. After the dust settled on Sunday, there were 10 teams in the AFC with a.

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